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Stadium Background

Ely Rangers vs Caerleon

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ely Rangers in this Division 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ely Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ely Rangers
15%
Draws
28%
Caerleon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ely Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Caerleon.
  • Ely Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Ely Rangers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ely Rangers Caerleon
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.43 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2010 Division 1
Caerleon vs Ely Rangers
2:1
May 8, 2010 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Caerleon
2:0
Nov 4, 2006 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Ely Rangers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ely Rangers 83 / 100
Caerleon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ely Rangers Caerleon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caerleon conceded in 97% of 34 recent games.

Ely Rangers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Away concern: Caerleon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ely Rangers VS Caerleon
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ely Rangers

(Home)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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Caerleon

(Away)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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