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Empoli vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Biondini E.
25'
Sub
Egan M. In: Zedadka K.
Out: Egan M.
45'
Curto M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Empoli and Arezzo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Empoli
15%
Draws
28%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Empoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arezzo come out ahead of Empoli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Empoli a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Empoli Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Arezzo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Arezzo
0:1
Sep 6, 2018 Club Friendly
Arezzo vs Empoli
1:1
Jun 5, 2005 Serie B
Empoli vs Arezzo
1:1
Jan 10, 2005 Serie B
Arezzo vs Empoli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 59 / 100
Arezzo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Empoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Empoli scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Arezzo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Difficult form: Arezzo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Arezzo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)