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Empoli vs Pisa

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Akinsanmiro E.
19' Event
Toure I.
38'
Sub
Ceesay J. In: Ebuehi T.
Out: Ceesay J.

AI Match Summary

Pisa in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pisa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Empoli
15%
Draws
54%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pisa at 1.1 per game, Empoli at 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Pisa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Empoli Clean Sheet 18%
Pisa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Empoli Pisa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Coppa Italia
Pisa vs Empoli
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Pisa
2:3
Feb 20, 2021 Serie B
Pisa vs Empoli
1:1
Oct 23, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinsanmiro E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toure I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Empoli 15 / 100
Pisa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Empoli Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Empoli found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Empoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Empoli VS Pisa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Empoli

(Home)
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
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Pisa

(Away)
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
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