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Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Cabrera A.
64'
Vega F.
81' Event
Quintana J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Encarnacion FC
39%
Draws
31%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Encarnacion FC and Sportivo Carapegua have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Encarnacion FC Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Encarnacion FC Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:2
Jul 13, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Encarnacion FC
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0
Sep 6, 2024 Division Intermedia
Encarnacion FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:0
Jun 1, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Encarnacion FC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Encarnacion FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Balbuena E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quintana J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Encarnacion FC 41 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Encarnacion FC Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Encarnacion FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Encarnacion FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Encarnacion FC VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Encarnacion FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Encarnacion FC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
19 Jul
Encarnacion FC
2 : 1
3 de Noviembre
11 Jul
General Caballero JLM
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
06 Jul
Encarnacion FC
1 : 2
Guairena FC
30 Jun
Resistencia
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio16113223:1136
2Benjamin Aceval1695227:1432
3General Caballero JLM1693432:2230
4Deportivo Santani1683522:1427
5Sol de America1659219:1424
6Atletico Tembetary1564524:2122
7Deportivo Capiata1557321:1822
8Guairena FC1664618:2022
9Independiente FBC1555523:2220
10Fernando de la Mora1654718:2419
11Sportivo Carapegua1654719:2919
12Resistencia1546516:2018
13Tacuary1629520:2415
14Paraguari AC1634915:2213
15Encarnacion FC16331015:2312
163 de Noviembre1607913:277
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)