Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England U21 vs Kazakhstan U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

England U21 host Kazakhstan U21 in the Euro U21. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. England U21 have averaged 2.83 scored and 0.8 conceded recently, against Kazakhstan U21's 0.87 scored and 1.87 conceded. Head-to-head, England U21 have won 3 to Kazakhstan U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.19 - 0.50) back England U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
England U21
20%
Draws
6%
Kazakhstan U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • England U21 have won more games recently than Kazakhstan U21.
  • Model gives England U21 a 74% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors England U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
England U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Kazakhstan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Kazakhstan U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 2.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs England U21
0:2
Oct 6, 2016 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs England U21
0:1
Oct 13, 2015 Euro U21
England U21 vs Kazakhstan U21
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 85 / 100
Kazakhstan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Kazakhstan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: England U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Kazakhstan U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: England U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Kazakhstan U21
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 6

Kazakhstan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
27 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 3
Slovakia U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)