Sport Picks

Stadium Background

England U21 vs Portugal U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gordon A.
Assist: Gibbs-White M.
46'
Sub
Costa S. In: Bernardo P.
Out: Costa S.
51'
Aarons M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with England U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
England U21
20%
Draws
40%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and England U21 come out ahead of Portugal U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives England U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • England U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor England U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
England U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.83 3
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
England U21 vs Portugal U21
4:2
Jul 2, 2023 Euro U21
England U21 vs Portugal U21
1:0
Mar 28, 2021 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs England U21
2:0
Jun 18, 2015 Euro U21
England U21 vs Portugal U21
0:1
Nov 13, 2014 Friendly International
England U21 vs Portugal U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Portugal U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England U21 34 / 100
Portugal U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

England U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Portugal U21 has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

England U21 VS Portugal U21
2.38 Goals Scored 4
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

England U21

(Home)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Georgia U21 0
Israel U21 1
England U21 1
Portugal U21 0
Spain U21 2
Switzerland U21 1
France U21 1
Ukraine U21 3
Semi-finals
Israel U21 0
England U21 3
Spain U21 5
Ukraine U21 1
Final
England U21 1
Spain U21 0