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England vs Costa Rica Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rice D.
Assist: Gordon A.
22'
Johnson S.
45'
Mora C.

AI Match Summary

England in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored England.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
England
15%
Draws
21%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Costa Rica haven't matched England's recent run of results.
  • England are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors England here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
England Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric England Costa Rica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Friendly International
England vs Costa Rica
3:0
Jun 7, 2018 Friendly International
England vs Costa Rica
2:0
Jun 24, 2014 World Championship
Costa Rica vs England
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Rice D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watkins O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Costa Rica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

England 95 / 100
Costa Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
England Costa Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

England's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Costa Rica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: England remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

England VS Costa Rica
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

England

(Home)
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2
England
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
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Costa Rica

(Away)
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3
Costa Rica
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 4
Curacao
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
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