Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Entella vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Comunale, Chiavari
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Marconi I.
45' Event
Del Lungo T.
45' Event
Tonoli D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Entella and Modena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Entella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Entella
33%
Draws
27%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Entella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Modena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Entella are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Entella Clean Sheet 68%
Modena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Entella Modena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie B
Entella vs Modena
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Entella
2:0
Jan 30, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Entella vs Modena
0:2
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Modena vs Entella
1:2
Apr 16, 2016 Serie B
Entella vs Modena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Entella Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Lungo T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonoli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Entella 50 / 100
Modena 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Entella Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Entella's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Modena has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Entella stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Entella VS Modena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Entella

(Home)
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
11 Apr
Entella
1 : 1
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Modena

(Away)
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Avellino
1 : 0
Modena
01 May
Modena
2 : 1
Reggiana
24 Apr
Monza
1 : 0
Modena
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 2
Frosinone
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)