Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Envigado vs Real Cundinamarca

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Tovar A. In: Villa M.
Out: Tovar A.
14'
Sub
Amaya J. In: Castro B.
Out: Amaya J.
27'
Vidal K.

AI Match Summary

Envigado in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Envigado
30%
Draws
56%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Cundinamarca haven't matched Envigado's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Cundinamarca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Envigado Clean Sheet 19%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Envigado Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Envigado
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuervo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Envigado 16 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Envigado Real Cundinamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Cundinamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Envigado scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Envigado stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Envigado VS Real Cundinamarca
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Envigado

(Home)
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Real Cundinamarca

(Away)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 9 5 2 2 11:3 17
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Real Santander 9 2 5 2 11:14 11
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)