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EPS vs MuSa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Espoonlahden urheilupuisto
6 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EPS play MuSa in the Kakkonen Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, EPS averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. MuSa averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, EPS won 2, MuSa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for EPS and 1.63 for MuSa. This points to a EPS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
EPS
23%
Draws
28%
MuSa
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: EPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • EPS picked up more points recently compared to MuSa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
EPS Clean Sheet 14%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EPS MuSa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
EPS vs MuSa
6:1
Aug 28, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
EPS vs MuSa
4:1
Jun 9, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs EPS
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinomaa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Talvitie E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

MuSa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahkanen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EPS 47 / 100
MuSa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EPS MuSa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EPS or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EPS attacking → ← attacking MuSa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EPS scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

MuSa let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

EPS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

MuSa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1182128:1026
3Ilves 21054127:1719
4HJS1153318:1518
5Pallo-Iirot1152421:1617
6GrIFK1043313:1415
7EPS1132620:2011
8EBK1122714:278
9MuSa1113712:366
10NJS1101106:331