Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erakor Golden Star vs AS Dragon

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lemaitre R.
15' Event
Wanemut J.
(Penalty)
21'
Irauel J.

AI Match Summary

AS Dragon in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erakor Golden Star
6%
Draws
4%
AS Dragon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erakor Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Dragon lately — more wins on the board than Erakor Golden Star.
  • Win probability leans Erakor Golden Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erakor Golden Star Clean Sheet 11%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erakor Golden Star AS Dragon
Matches Played 9 21
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2018 OFC Champions League
Erakor Golden Star vs AS Dragon
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erakor Golden Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Molivakarua E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AS Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemaitre R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seino T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erakor Golden Star 83 / 100
AS Dragon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erakor Golden Star AS Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erakor Golden Star scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Defensive concern: AS Dragon conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Erakor Golden Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erakor Golden Star VS AS Dragon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nalkutan33009:19
2Lae City32019:66
3Ba31024:33
4Tupapa30033:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Dragon32019:56
2Solomon Warriors32018:46
3Erakor Golden Star31117:64
4Lossi30123:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City330013:09
2Lautoka32015:36
3Venus31023:103
4Madang Fox30032:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Team Wellington321013:37
2Marist31205:35
3Magenta31114:64
4Lupe ole Soaga30032:120