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Erfurt II vs Gotha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

5 - 2
FT
Gotha Logo

Gotha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erfurt II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erfurt II
15%
Draws
0%
Gotha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erfurt II have won more games recently than Gotha.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Erfurt II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 16%
Gotha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Gotha
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.79 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Gotha
5:2
Apr 10, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
1:3
Apr 5, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Gotha
1:0
Aug 14, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
0:1
May 1, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Erfurt II
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 84 / 100
Gotha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Gotha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt II's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Gotha let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Away concern: Gotha has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
Page 1 of 9

Gotha

(Away)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)