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Erie Sports Center vs Toledo Villa

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Erie Sports Center and Toledo Villa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toledo Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erie Sports Center
6%
Draws
90%
Toledo Villa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Toledo Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erie Sports Center haven't matched Toledo Villa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Toledo Villa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Erie Sports Center Clean Sheet 10%
Toledo Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erie Sports Center Toledo Villa
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 8
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Erie Sports Center
5:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL League Two
Erie Sports Center vs Toledo Villa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erie Sports Center 10 / 100
Toledo Villa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erie Sports Center Toledo Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo Villa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Toledo Villa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Erie Sports Center scored in 50% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erie Sports Center VS Toledo Villa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erie Sports Center

(Home)
06 Jul
Lorain County Leviathan
5 : 0
Erie Sports Center
03 Jul
Akron City
4 : 0
Erie Sports Center
30 Jun
Erie Sports Center
1 : 6
Akron City
28 Jun
Erie Sports Center
0 : 4
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
24 Jun
Erie Sports Center
1 : 3
Steel City
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Toledo Villa

(Away)
12 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
4 : 2
Toledo Villa
08 Jul
Toledo Villa
1 : 2
Northern Indiana
27 Jun
Toledo Villa
2 : 3
Northern Indiana
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
20 Jun
Toledo Villa
3 : 4
West Virginia
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