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Stadium Background

Ermis vs Achyronas-Onisilos

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kaiserlidis I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023/2024 game between Ermis and Achyronas-Onisilos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Achyronas-Onisilos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ermis
15%
Draws
8%
Achyronas-Onisilos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Ermis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Ermis taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Achyronas-Onisilos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ermis Clean Sheet 68%
Achyronas-Onisilos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Achyronas-Onisilos
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 27
Goals Scored 0.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs Achyronas-Onisilos
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Division 2
Achyronas-Onisilos vs Ermis
0:1
Nov 4, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs Achyronas-Onisilos
0:3
Nov 5, 2022 Division 2
Ermis vs Achyronas-Onisilos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Achyronas-Onisilos Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaiserlidis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis 95 / 100
Achyronas-Onisilos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Achyronas-Onisilos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Achyronas-Onisilos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 39 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ermis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Achyronas-Onisilos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis VS Achyronas-Onisilos
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis

(Home)
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
06 Apr
Akritas Chloraka
3 : 0
Ermis
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Achyronas-Onisilos

(Away)
25 Apr
Achyronas-Onisilos
0 : 2
Kitiou
21 Apr
AEZ Zakakiou
4 : 2
Achyronas-Onisilos
04 Apr
Achyronas-Onisilos
0 : 3
Halkanoras
21 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
3 : 1
Achyronas-Onisilos
18 Mar
Achyronas-Onisilos
1 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
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