Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erokspor vs Igdir FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Niyaz R. In: Yazgan F.
Out: Niyaz R.
43' Event
Kaya G.
Assist: Camara M.
45'
Afena-Gyan F.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Erokspor and Igdir FK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igdir FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Erokspor
30%
Draws
61%
Igdir FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igdir FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erokspor come out ahead of Igdir FK on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 19%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Igdir FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Igdir FK
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs Erokspor
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Igdir FK
2:3
Feb 12, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Igdir FK
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs Erokspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Igdir FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaya G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 32 / 100
Igdir FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Igdir FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Erokspor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Igdir FK has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Erokspor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Igdir FK
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
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Igdir FK

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)