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Erpeldange vs FC Residence Walferdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Erpeldange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Erpeldange
6%
Draws
90%
FC Residence Walferdange
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Residence Walferdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Residence Walferdange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Residence Walferdange a 90% chance of winning this.
  • FC Residence Walferdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Erpeldange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erpeldange FC Residence Walferdange
Matches Played 19 26
Wins 8 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 4 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs FC Residence Walferdange
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erpeldange 10 / 100
FC Residence Walferdange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erpeldange FC Residence Walferdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Residence Walferdange conceded in 92% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Erpeldange scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Erpeldange went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erpeldange VS FC Residence Walferdange
1 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erpeldange

(Home)
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8
Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3
Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6
Luxembourg City
21 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
2 : 3
Erpeldange
Page 1 of 4

FC Residence Walferdange

(Away)
22 Jul
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 4
Luxembourg City
16 Jul
Lorentzweiler
3 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
15 Jul
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 2
Jeunesse Esch
11 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 6
FC Residence Walferdange
04 Jul
Eintracht Trier
4 : 0
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf-
TBD-
FC Orania Vianden0
Hostert7
Sporting Bertrange2
Alliance Aischdall1
TBD-
Luxembourg City-
Victoria Rosport-
TBD-
Lorentzweiler0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach3
Hesperange3
Alisontia Steinsel2
TBD-
Racing Luxembourg-
UNA Strassen-
TBD-
US Sandweiler3
FC Marisca Mersch4
Bissen3
Mertert/Wasserbillig2
TBD-
Ettelbruck-
Progres Niedercorn-
TBD-
AS Hosingen3
FC 47 Bastendorf4
Lintgen4
Echternach2
TBD-
Fola-
Dudelange-
TBD-
FC Residence Walferdange1
Erpeldange3
Jeunesse Canach2
Red Boys Aspelt0
TBD-
Jeunesse Esch-
Differdange-
TBD-
Union Tetange0
Avenir Beggen1
Grevenmacher-
TBD-
FC Munsbach2
Kaerjeng4
Rumelange-
TBD-
Kehlen0
FC Mamer1
Jeunesse Schieren3
Mondercange1
TBD-
Wiltz-
Esch3
Oberkorn1
Union Remich/Bous2
FF Norden3
FC Rodange 917
FC Brouch0
Blo Weiss Itzig0
Union Titus Petange5
1/16-finals
Mondorf2
Hostert1
Sporting Bertrange0
Luxembourg City4
Victoria Rosport3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach0
Hesperange2
Racing Luxembourg3
UNA Strassen6
FC Marisca Mersch0
Bissen1
Ettelbruck2
Progres Niedercorn5
FC 47 Bastendorf0
Lintgen1
Fola3
Dudelange2
Erpeldange0
Jeunesse Canach1
Jeunesse Esch4
Differdange4
Avenir Beggen1
Grevenmacher0
Kaerjeng1
Rumelange2
FC Mamer0
Jeunesse Schieren1
Wiltz4
Esch3
FF Norden0
FC Rodange 913
Union Titus Petange4
1/8-finals
Mondorf2
Luxembourg City0
Victoria Rosport0
Racing Luxembourg2
UNA Strassen3
Ettelbruck1
Progres Niedercorn0
Fola4
Dudelange5
Jeunesse Esch0
Differdange2
Kaerjeng3
Rumelange1
Wiltz0
Esch0
Union Titus Petange1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf2
Racing Luxembourg0
UNA Strassen0
Fola4
Dudelange4
Kaerjeng2
Rumelange2
Union Titus Petange3
Semi-finals
Mondorf1
Fola0
Dudelange4
Union Titus Petange0
Final
Mondorf0
Dudelange1