Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Yelimay Semey W
Kazakhstan
League Women 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gordeeva A.
Assist: Bigozhina A.
5'
5'
Abdullayeva V.
37'
37'
Shustova K.
Assist: Satygalieva F.
AI Match Summary
Yelimay Semey W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ertis Pavlodar W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yelimay Semey W lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar W.
- Win probability leans Ertis Pavlodar W's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar W | Yelimay Semey W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 7, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Yelimay Semey W
1:3
Jun 23, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ertis Pavlodar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gordeeva A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Yelimay Semey W Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullayeva V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shustova K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ertis Pavlodar W 38 / 100
Yelimay Semey W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ertis Pavlodar W Yelimay Semey W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ERT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ertis Pavlodar W scored in 82% of their last 11 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Yelimay Semey W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Ertis Pavlodar W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ertis Pavlodar W VS Yelimay Semey W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Ertis Pavlodar W
(Home) 20 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0 Okzhetpes W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
16 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 2 FC Astana W
Page 1 of 3
20 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0 Okzhetpes W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
16 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 2 FC Astana W
12 May
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
28 Apr
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 3 Zhenis Astana W
Yelimay Semey W
(Away) 27 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
1 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
20 Jul
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
14 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 0 Altai W
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 6 Aktobe W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
1 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
20 Jul
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
16 Jun
Altai W
1 : 4 Yelimay Semey W
26 May
Aktobe W
5 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 93:1 | 33 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:25 | 17 |
| 5 | Kairat W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:23 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau W | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1:43 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulytau W | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2:43 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 120:2 | 36 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 58:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 5 | Tobol W | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14:39 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:26 | 16 |
| 7 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:62 | 10 |
| 9 | Okzhetpes W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8:55 | 3 |
| 10 | Altai W | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:53 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
