Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu

Erzurumspor FK

1 - 1

Bandirmaspor

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Keser B.

58'

Fall M.

61'

Sub

Keser B. In: Akpinar M.

Out: Keser B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Bandirmaspor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Erzurumspor FK

20%

Draws

38%

Bandirmaspor

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Bandirmaspor on wins alone.
Erzurumspor FK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%

Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erzurumspor FK	Bandirmaspor
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	22	12
Draws	5	10
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Bandirmaspor

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Dec 20, 2025 1. Lig

Bandirmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

May 15, 2025 1. Lig

Bandirmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Jan 18, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Bandirmaspor

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Aug 11, 2024 1. Lig

Bandirmaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Bandirmaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Nukan A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 42 / 100

Bandirmaspor 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erzurumspor FK Bandirmaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bandirmaspor conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Bandirmaspor

2.88 Goals Scored 0.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13

88% Over 1.5 25%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54