Sport Picks
Erzurumspor FK vs Rizespor
Turkey
Turkish Cup Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum 
Match Events
42'
42'
Tozlu E.
Assist: Kabak A.
45'
45'
Canpolat E.
46'
46'
Sub
Tozlu E. In: Rodriguez M.
Out: Tozlu E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Erzurumspor FK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erzurumspor FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Rizespor on wins alone.
- Model gives Erzurumspor FK a 36% chance of winning this.
- Erzurumspor FK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rizespor, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 20%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Rizespor
0:0
Jan 15, 2026 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Rizespor
2:0
Apr 9, 2023 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Rizespor
1:1
Nov 4, 2022 1. Lig
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK
3:1
Jul 22, 2022 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Rizespor
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sarikaya S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Rizespor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erzurumspor FK 36 / 100
Rizespor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erzurumspor FK Rizespor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erzurumspor FK scored in 94% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: Erzurumspor FK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Rizespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Erzurumspor FK VS Rizespor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Erzurumspor FK
(Home) 23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1 Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 7
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1 Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1 Bandirmaspor
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0 Boluspor
04 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 1 Igdir FK
Page 1 of 4
Rizespor
(Away) 25 Jul
Osijek
1 : 3 Rizespor
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
15 Jul
Rizespor
3 : 0 Dinamo Batumi
15 May
Rizespor
2 : 2 Besiktas
09 May
Eyupspor
4 : 0 Rizespor
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Osijek
1 : 3 Rizespor
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0 Rizespor
09 May
Eyupspor
4 : 0 Rizespor
25 Apr
Kayserispor
2 : 0 Rizespor
17 Apr
Fenerbahce
2 : 2 Rizespor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams