Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu

Erzurumspor FK

4 - 0

Serik Spor

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Montes A.

Own Goal

32'

Topalli J.

Penalty Missed

38'

Fettahoglu M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Serik Spor finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Erzurumspor FK

Draws

Serik Spor

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Erzurumspor FK carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Erzurumspor FK a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Serik Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erzurumspor FK	Serik Spor
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	23	8
Draws	5	2
Losses	5	20
Goals Scored	1.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Serik Spor

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Sep 28, 2025 1. Lig

Serik Spor vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Fettahoglu M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fernando Andrade

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Serik Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 95 / 100

Serik Spor 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erzurumspor FK Serik Spor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Serik Spor conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Erzurumspor FK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Serik Spor

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54