Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Setif vs El Bayadh

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Boubekeur I.
53'
Daibeche O.
66'
Sub
Belkhadem M. In: Amokrane A.
Out: Belkhadem M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
ES Setif
20%
Draws
15%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • ES Setif have won more games recently than El Bayadh.
  • Model gives ES Setif a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif El Bayadh
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.37 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs El Bayadh
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs ES Setif
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Algeria Cup
El Bayadh vs ES Setif
1:0
Feb 11, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs ES Setif
1:0
Sep 19, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs El Bayadh
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 86 / 100
El Bayadh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Setif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Setif found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

El Bayadh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

ES Setif went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

El Bayadh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS El Bayadh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

El Bayadh

(Away)
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)