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ES Setif vs Paradou

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zerrouki M.
19'
Bendouma A.
24'
Salem H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ES Setif and Paradou finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ES Setif
15%
Draws
28%
Paradou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ES Setif come out ahead of Paradou on wins alone.
  • Model gives ES Setif a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%
Paradou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif Paradou
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ES Setif
0:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
2:2
Apr 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ES Setif
0:0
Dec 17, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
1:2
Jun 11, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerrouki M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paradou Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelkader M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guidoum M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 77 / 100
Paradou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif Paradou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Setif found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Paradou conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ES Setif stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS Paradou
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
17 Apr
ES Setif
3 : 0
Oran
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Paradou

(Away)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
19 May
Rouisset
2 : 1
Paradou
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)