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Esbjerg vs Lyngby

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Esbjerg Logo

Esbjerg

2 - 1
FT
Lyngby Logo

Lyngby

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Kolawole J.
45' Event
Storm T.
Assist: Tytens R.
46'
Sub
Maden M. In: Hansen M.
Out: Maden M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Esbjerg
17%
Draws
70%
Lyngby
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lyngby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lyngby have won more games recently than Esbjerg.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Lyngby taking it.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lyngby have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 13%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Lyngby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 1st Division
Lyngby vs Esbjerg
5:0
Nov 21, 2025 1st Division
Lyngby vs Esbjerg
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
0:2
Mar 18, 2022 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Lyngby
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolawole J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lyngby Compare

Top Goalscorer Storm T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 14 / 100
Lyngby 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Lyngby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LYN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lyngby has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Esbjerg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Lyngby
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
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Lyngby

(Away)
01 Aug
Lyngby
2 : 2
Aarhus
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Lyngby
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
04 Jul
Lyngby
6 : 3
Boldklubben 1893
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)