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Esbjerg W vs Aarhus W Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Danish Cup Women 2025/2026
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Match Events

4' Event
Littrup C.
14'
Sub
Kjaersgard L. In: Parkegaard S.
Out: Kjaersgard L.
21' Event
Aarhus L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Aarhus W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Esbjerg W
15%
Draws
85%
Aarhus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aarhus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus W come out ahead of Esbjerg W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aarhus W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Aarhus W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Aarhus W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg W Aarhus W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Esbjerg W vs Aarhus W
0:6
May 21, 2022 A-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Aarhus W
1:6
Apr 16, 2022 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Esbjerg W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aarhus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Littrup C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aarhus L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg W 26 / 100
Aarhus W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg W Aarhus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aarhus W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Esbjerg W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Aarhus W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg W VS Aarhus W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg W

(Home)
27 Sept
Esbjerg W
1 : 2
B93 W
19 Sept
Osterbro IF W
4 : 1
Esbjerg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
05 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Esbjerg W
30 Aug
Esbjerg W
0 : 3
Viborg W
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Aarhus W

(Away)
03 Oct
KoldingQ W
2 : 1
Aarhus W
29 Sept
Odense W
1 : 0
Aarhus W
22 Sept
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland W
12 Sept
Aarhus W
4 : 2
FC Copenhagen W
05 Sept
Midtjylland W
2 : 1
Aarhus W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Skjold W 0
Osterbro IF W 1
Nordsjaelland W 4
Odense W 2
Randers Q W 0
KoldingQ W 7
Dalum/Naesby W 0
Midtjylland W 7
FC Copenhagen W 0
Koge W 6
Esbjerg W 0
Aarhus W 6
Vejgaard W 2
ASA Aarhus W 7
BSF W 0
Brondby W 7
Quarter-finals
Osterbro IF W 0
Nordsjaelland W 6
KoldingQ W 3
Midtjylland W 1
Koge W 2
Aarhus W 0
ASA Aarhus W 0
Brondby W 3
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland W 9
KoldingQ W 2
Koge W 5
Brondby W 2
Final
Nordsjaelland W 1
Koge W 4