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Eskilstuna City vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2021 Tunavallen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eskilstuna City play Trosa-Vagnharads SK in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2021. Eskilstuna City are favorites here. Recently, Eskilstuna City averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Trosa-Vagnharads SK averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. In past meetings, Eskilstuna City won 0, Trosa-Vagnharads SK won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 16, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Eskilstuna City and 1.00 for Trosa-Vagnharads SK. This points to a Eskilstuna City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Eskilstuna City
25%
Draws
15%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Eskilstuna City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Eskilstuna City picked up more points recently compared to Trosa-Vagnharads SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Eskilstuna City Clean Sheet 23%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eskilstuna City Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.62

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Eskilstuna City
1:1
Aug 15, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Eskilstuna City vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eskilstuna City 59 / 100
Trosa-Vagnharads SK 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eskilstuna City Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eskilstuna City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Eskilstuna City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eskilstuna City attacking → ← attacking Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eskilstuna City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Eskilstuna City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 26
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Motala28196376:2363
2Nordic United28188282:3762
3Nykopings28183788:4057
4Huddinge28155859:3250
5Karlslund28154963:4649
6Syrianska28145963:4847
7Mjolby AI FF281081061:5038
8Smedby281081043:4038
9Trosa-Vagnharads SK281061256:6036
10Arameisk-Syrianska281121537:5835
11IFK Eskilstuna28961345:6233
12Varmbols28941548:6631
13Eskilstuna City28581535:5923
14Tyreso28432133:10915
15Rynninge28422240:9914