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ESMAC W vs Atletico-MG W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Brasileiro Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Natal M. In: Radija
Out: Natal M.
21' Event
Rodriguez D.
46'
Sub
Gomez L. In: Rafa Barros
Out: Gomez L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women 2022 game between ESMAC W and Atletico-MG W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
ESMAC W
15%
Draws
85%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG W come out ahead of ESMAC W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico-MG W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
ESMAC W Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ESMAC W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.83 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Brasileiro Women
ESMAC W vs Atletico-MG W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ESMAC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ESMAC W 10 / 100
Atletico-MG W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ESMAC W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico-MG W conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

ESMAC W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Atletico-MG W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico-MG W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ESMAC W

(Home)
28 Apr
ESMAC W
0 : 1
Paysandu PA W
18 Apr
Paysandu PA W
2 : 0
ESMAC W
28 May
ESMAC W
1 : 2
Botafogo PB W
21 May
Sport Recife W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
14 May
Vila Nova FC W
2 : 1
ESMAC W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 15 12 1 2 45:13 37
2 Sao Paulo W 15 11 2 2 30:13 35
3 Internacional W 15 10 3 2 27:13 33
4 Corinthians W 15 9 5 1 33:12 32
5 Real Brasilia W 15 8 2 5 24:23 26
6 CR Flamengo W 15 7 4 4 25:17 25
7 Ferroviaria W 15 7 3 5 23:14 24
8 Gremio W 15 5 6 4 22:18 21
9 Santos W 15 6 2 7 33:24 20
10 Avai Kindermann W 15 6 2 7 16:26 20
11 Atletico-MG W 15 5 4 6 17:17 19
12 Cruzeiro W 15 3 4 8 14:18 13
13 Sao Jose W 15 2 3 10 11:35 9
14 ESMAC W 15 2 2 11 13:42 8
15 Bragantino W 15 1 4 10 11:23 7
16 Cresspom W 15 1 3 11 12:48 6
Promotion - Brasileiro Women 2022 (Play Offs)