Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Villacarrillo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Espanol Alquian play Villacarrillo in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. Villacarrillo are favorites here. Recently, Espanol Alquian averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. Villacarrillo averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Espanol Alquian won 2, Villacarrillo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Espanol Alquian and 1.36 for Villacarrillo. This points to a Villacarrillo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Espanol Alquian

15%

Draws

62%

Villacarrillo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villacarrillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Espanol Alquian picked up more points recently compared to Villacarrillo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 18%

Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Espanol Alquian	Villacarrillo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	1	7
Draws	0	4
Losses	29	19
Goals Scored	0.2	1.3
Goals Conceded	3.17	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Villacarrillo

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Villacarrillo vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Villacarrillo

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Oct 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Villacarrillo vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espanol Alquian 24 / 100

Villacarrillo 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Espanol Alquian Villacarrillo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacarrillo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Villacarrillo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Espanol Alquian attacking → ← attacking Villacarrillo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espanol Alquian scored in 7% of their last 30 games.

Villacarrillo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Espanol Alquian went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Villacarrillo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26