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Esporte Limoeiro vs Crateus Prediction & H2H Stats

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Cearense 3 2025
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Match Events

55' Event
Ytalo
82' Event
Renan
90' Event
Martins P.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2025 game between Esporte Limoeiro and Crateus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Esporte Limoeiro
15%
Draws
53%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Esporte Limoeiro haven't matched Crateus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Esporte Limoeiro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Crateus Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Limoeiro Crateus
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.82 1
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Esporte Limoeiro
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Crateus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Crateus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ytalo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Limoeiro 42 / 100
Crateus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Limoeiro Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Esporte Limoeiro's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crateus conceded in 42% of 19 recent games.

Esporte Limoeiro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Limoeiro VS Crateus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Limoeiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
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Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)