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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
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Match Events

79' Event
Sapeka G.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Esportivo Bento Goncalves and Gramadense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gramadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
40%
Draws
29%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gramadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 20%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Gramadense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Gramadense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapeka G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 32 / 100
Gramadense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS Gramadense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
16 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 1
Aimore
12 Nov
Aimore
1 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
09 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
01 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
25 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
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Gramadense

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)