Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guilherme Farias
19' Event
Patrickao

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Esportivo Bento Goncalves and Santa Cruz RS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
33%
Draws
27%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Esportivo Bento Goncalves a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
Jun 26, 2022 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:0
Jun 19, 2022 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Apr 14, 2013 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Santa Cruz RS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Farias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrickao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 50 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RS conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS Santa Cruz RS
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
16 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 1
Aimore
12 Nov
Aimore
1 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
09 Nov
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
01 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
25 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)