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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves play Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol in the Gaucho 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esportivo Bento Goncalves averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Esportivo Bento Goncalves won 1, Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.08 for Esportivo Bento Goncalves and 0.53 for Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol. This points to a Esportivo Bento Goncalves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
35%
Draws
32%
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.08 vs 0.53 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 30%
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1:1
Jun 30, 2024 Gaucho 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolfart Igor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.09

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 36 / 100
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esportivo Bento Goncalves or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esportivo Bento Goncalves attacking → ← attacking Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.17
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00