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Essendon Royals W vs Alamein FC W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

Essendon Royals W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Essendon Royals W
6%
Draws
4%
Alamein FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alamein FC W haven't matched Essendon Royals W's recent run of results.
  • Essendon Royals W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 18%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Alamein FC W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Alamein FC W
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs Essendon Royals W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 85 / 100
Alamein FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Alamein FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Essendon Royals W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alamein FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Alamein FC W
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

Alamein FC W

(Away)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)