Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2021/2022

Baderan Tehran

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Khuzestan play Baderan Tehran in the Division 1 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Khuzestan averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Baderan Tehran averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2, Baderan Tehran won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 23, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.31 for Baderan Tehran. This points to a Baderan Tehran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Esteghlal Khuzestan

29%

Draws

45%

Baderan Tehran

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Baderan Tehran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Esteghlal Khuzestan picked up more points recently compared to Baderan Tehran.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 18%

Baderan Tehran Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Esteghlal Khuzestan	Baderan Tehran
Matches Played	28	25
Wins	6	14
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.64	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.14	0.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Azadegan League

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Baderan Tehran

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Mar 14, 2021 Azadegan League

Baderan Tehran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Nov 22, 2020 Azadegan League

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Baderan Tehran

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jan 7, 2020 Azadegan League

Baderan Tehran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Aug 17, 2019 Azadegan League

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Baderan Tehran

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 27 / 100

Baderan Tehran 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Esteghlal Khuzestan Baderan Tehran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baderan Tehran or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esteghlal Khuzestan attacking → ← attacking Baderan Tehran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Baderan Tehran let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Esteghlal Khuzestan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Baderan Tehran lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 46

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malavan	34	20	11	3	40:15	71
2	Mes Kerman	34	19	13	2	40:10	70
3	Arman Gohar	34	17	10	7	41:26	61
4	Kheybar Khorramabad	34	16	11	7	47:29	59
5	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	13	13	8	37:36	52
6	Khoosheh Talai	34	12	14	8	48:39	50
7	Mes Shahr Babak	34	10	16	8	30:23	46
8	Esteghlal Molasani	34	9	19	6	31:27	46
9	Shams Azar Qazvin	34	11	11	12	37:35	44
10	Shahrdari Hamedan	34	9	16	9	27:24	43
11	Shahrdari Astara	34	10	12	12	26:29	42
12	Esteghlal Khuzestan	34	10	10	14	37:34	40
13	Saipa	34	8	16	10	33:35	40
14	Qashqai Shiraz	34	10	9	15	26:34	39
15	Rayka Babol	34	8	14	12	32:36	38
16	Vista Toorbin	34	8	13	13	26:33	37
17	Shahin Bushehr	34	2	9	23	14:55	15
18	Machine Sazi Tabriz	34	1	9	24	29:81	12
19	Baderan Tehran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0