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Estonia U17 vs Lithuania U17

World World

Friendly International Jari Litmanen Areena, Eerikkilä
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Haabma K.
42' Event
Korvel L.
51' Event
Korvel L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Estonia U17 and Lithuania U17 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Estonia U17
6%
Draws
90%
Lithuania U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lithuania U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lithuania U17 come out ahead of Estonia U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lithuania U17 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Estonia U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U17 Lithuania U17
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Friendly International
Estonia U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:4
Jun 25, 2025 Friendly International
Estonia U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:2
Jun 30, 2024 Friendly International
Estonia U17 vs Lithuania U17
0:5
Jun 28, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Estonia U17
2:4
Jun 29, 2022 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Estonia U17
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haabma K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Korvel L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mironcikas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U17 10 / 100
Lithuania U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U17 Lithuania U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Estonia U17's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Estonia U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U17 VS Lithuania U17
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U17

(Home)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Latvia U17
3 : 0
Estonia U17
28 Jun
Finland U17
0 : 0
Estonia U17
31 May
Belgium U17
1 : 0
Estonia U17
28 May
Estonia U17
1 : 3
Croatia U17
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Lithuania U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
30 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 3
Bulgaria U17
27 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U17
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