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Estonia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estonia U21 host Faroe Islands U21 in the Euro U21. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Faroe Islands U21 have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Estonia U21 have conceded 2.72 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Estonia U21 have won 0 to Faroe Islands U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Faroe Islands U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Estonia U21
20%
Draws
0%
Faroe Islands U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estonia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Estonia U21 haven't matched Faroe Islands U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Estonia U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Faroe Islands U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 Faroe Islands U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Euro U21
Faroe Islands U21 vs Estonia U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 47 / 100
Faroe Islands U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 Faroe Islands U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Faroe Islands U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Estonia U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Faroe Islands U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS Faroe Islands U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands U21

(Away)
27 Mar
Switzerland U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
13 Nov
Hungary U21
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Oct
Faroe Islands U21
1 : 3
Switzerland U21
10 Oct
Faroe Islands U21
0 : 6
France U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)