Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lohei F.
31' Event
Siht R.
Assist: Zuravljov E.
59' Event
Agaptsev S.
Assist: Tovstik S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Estonia U21
30%
Draws
47%
Luxembourg U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luxembourg U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Estonia U21 at 1.14 per game, Luxembourg U21 at 0.59.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 Luxembourg U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.14 0.59
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21
2:2
Mar 29, 2011 Friendly International
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21
0:6
Oct 10, 2005 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Sep 2, 2004 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siht R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agaptsev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohei F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 30 / 100
Luxembourg U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 Luxembourg U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luxembourg U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luxembourg U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Estonia U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Luxembourg U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS Luxembourg U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Luxembourg U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0
Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1
Switzerland U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)