Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lohei F.
31' Event
Siht R.
Assist: Zuravljov E.
59' Event
Agaptsev S.
Assist: Tovstik S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Estonia U21
39%
Draws
30%
Luxembourg U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Estonia U21 at 1.25 per game, Luxembourg U21 at 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 Luxembourg U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21
2:2
Mar 29, 2011 Friendly International
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21
0:6
Oct 10, 2005 Euro U21
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Sep 2, 2004 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Luxembourg U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siht R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agaptsev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohei F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 31 / 100
Luxembourg U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 Luxembourg U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Luxembourg U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Estonia U21 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Luxembourg U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS Luxembourg U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Luxembourg U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0
Luxembourg U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1
Switzerland U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)