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Estonia U23 vs Latvia U23

World World

Friendly International 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stuglis E.
11' Event
Savalnieks R.
56' Event
Rei I.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U23 in this Friendly International 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estonia U23
25%
Draws
35%
Latvia U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Estonia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Latvia U23 at 2 per game, Estonia U23 at 0.86.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Latvia U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Estonia U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U23 Latvia U23
Matches Played 7 2
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 0
Goals Scored 0.86 2
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2015 Friendly International
Estonia U23 vs Latvia U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mool K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Latvia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuglis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savalnieks R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U23 10 / 100
Latvia U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U23 Latvia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Estonia U23 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (7 games).

Latvia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 2 matches.

Estonia U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U23 VS Latvia U23
0.86 Goals Scored 2
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U23

(Home)
05 Jun
Estonia U23
2 : 0
England C
23 Mar
Slovakia U21
4 : 0
Estonia U23
10 Jun
Estonia U23
1 : 3
Latvia U23
27 May
Estonia U23
0 : 2
Slovakia U20
16 Oct
Estonia U23
2 : 0
Norway U23
Page 1 of 2

Latvia U23

(Away)
10 Jun
Estonia U23
1 : 3
Latvia U23
10 Sept
Latvia U23
1 : 0
England C