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Estoril U19 vs Benfica U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Estoril U19 and Benfica U19 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Estoril U19
15%
Draws
58%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Benfica U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Estoril U19
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Benfica U19
0:4
May 8, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Estoril U19
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Benfica U19
0:2
Dec 16, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Benfica U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U19 10 / 100
Benfica U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Estoril U19 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Benfica U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Estoril U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica U19
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U19

(Home)
25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0
Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3
Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2
SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
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Benfica U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)