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Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Estrela da Amadora and Portimonense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Estrela da Amadora
35%
Draws
20%
Portimonense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrela da Amadora's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Portimonense
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 League Cup
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 67 / 100
Portimonense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Portimonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Estrela da Amadora scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Portimonense
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
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Portimonense

(Away)
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0
Vizela
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