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Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Estrela da Amadora and Portimonense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Estrela da Amadora
11%
Draws
9%
Portimonense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Portimonense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrela da Amadora's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Portimonense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Portimonense
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 League Cup
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Estrela da Amadora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 76 / 100
Portimonense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Portimonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Portimonense conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Portimonense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
01 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
4 : 2
Al Nassr
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1
Portimonense
23 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0
Nacional
18 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2
Casa Pia
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Portimonense

(Away)
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2
Nottingham
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1
Portimonense
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3
Rio Ave
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
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