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Estrella vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli
Estrella Logo

Estrella

2 - 2
FT
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Juarez L.
20'
Garcia M.
26'
Dibble N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Estrella
20%
Draws
47%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Estrella Clean Sheet 14%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Olimpia
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 4 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.69 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Olimpia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 10 / 100
Olimpia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Estrella found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (13 games).

Recent resilience: Estrella stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Olimpia let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Olimpia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
04 Nov
Estrella
1 : 2
Motagua
31 Oct
Estrella
3 : 1
Atletico Independiente
24 Oct
Olancho
3 : 3
Estrella
18 Oct
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Estrella
11 Oct
Estrella
0 : 1
Real Espana
Page 1 of 3

Olimpia

(Away)
05 Nov
Olimpia
8 : 0
Juticalpa
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
29 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 2
Cartagines
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 13 10 2 1 34:8 32
2 Real Espana 13 8 4 1 23:11 28
3 Motagua 13 9 1 3 21:10 28
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 13 3 8 2 15:12 17
6 Lobos UPNFM 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
7 Estrella 13 4 4 5 22:24 16
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 13 3 3 7 16:17 12
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 13 2 0 11 11:36 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)