Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella vs Olimpia

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli
Estrella Logo

Estrella

2 - 2
FT
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Juarez L.
20'
Garcia M.
26'
Dibble N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Estrella
35%
Draws
41%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Estrella's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Olimpia
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 2 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Olimpia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 34 / 100
Olimpia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Estrella found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Olimpia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Estrella went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Olimpia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
15 Aug
Lobos UPNFM
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 2

Olimpia

(Away)
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marathon 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
2 Real Espana 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
3 Olimpia 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Motagua 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
5 Genesis FC 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Olancho 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
7 Atletico Independiente 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
8 Estrella 7 2 3 2 13:14 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
10 Platense 7 1 2 4 6:16 5
11 CD Choloma 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
12 Juticalpa 7 1 0 6 5:17 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)