Sport Picks
Estudiantes Merida vs Carabobo
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida 
Match Events
38'
38'
Bahachille A.
43'
43'
Roberts E.
46'
46'
Acosta H.
AI Match Summary
Carabobo in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carabobo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabobo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Carabobo have won more games recently than Estudiantes Merida.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Carabobo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 20%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estudiantes Merida | Carabobo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
May 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Carabobo
0:2
May 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Carabobo
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Carabobo Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estudiantes Merida 32 / 100
Carabobo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estudiantes Merida Carabobo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estudiantes Merida scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Estudiantes Merida has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Carabobo has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Estudiantes Merida VS Carabobo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Estudiantes Merida
(Home) 20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0 Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Trujillanos
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0 Dep. Tachira
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
22 Aug
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Academia Puerto Cabello
15 Aug
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 0 Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 3
Carabobo
(Away) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1 Carabobo
08 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0 Carabobo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Portuguesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Merida | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)
