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Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) play Adama City in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Adama City averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) won 2, Adama City won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) and 1.13 for Adama City. This points to a Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
27%
Draws
33%
Adama City
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) picked up more points recently compared to Adama City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 21%
Adama City Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Adama City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
2:0
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Top Goalscorer Zelalem A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alemayehu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Adama City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 40 / 100
Adama City 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Adama City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) attacking → ← attacking Adama City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Adama City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adama City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 33
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635