Sport Picks
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
14'
14'
Getachew B.
56'
56'
Zelalem A.
AI Match Summary
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) have won more games recently than Bahir Dar Kenema.
- Win probability leans Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | Bahir Dar Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 18 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:0
Oct 28, 2025 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Apr 10, 2025 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Bahir Dar Kenema
3:1
Mar 14, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare
Top Goalscorer Getachew B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zelalem A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bahir Dar Kenema Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 77 / 100
Bahir Dar Kenema 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Bahir Dar Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bahir Dar Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Bahir Dar Kenema
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Home) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
30 Apr
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 4 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 3
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
06 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
