Sport Picks
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
23'
23'
Bizuneh K.
48'
48'
64'
64'
Ozil D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Negele Arsi Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Negele Arsi Ketema FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC have won more games recently than Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 68%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bizuneh K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 42 / 100
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Negele Arsi Ketema FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ethiopia Nigd Bank scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ethiopia Nigd Bank stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Nigd Bank VS Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Home) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
15 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
Page 1 of 4
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Away) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
14 May
Mechal SC
4 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
06 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)