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Ethiopia U20 vs Uganda U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2022
Ethiopia U20 Logo

Ethiopia U20

1 - 0
FT
Uganda U20 Logo

Uganda U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 2022 game between Ethiopia U20 and Uganda U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ethiopia U20
15%
Draws
78%
Uganda U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Uganda U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Uganda U20
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 8 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.12 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.61 1.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Ethiopia U20
3:0
Nov 5, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Uganda U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
Uganda U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Uganda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Uganda U20 conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ethiopia U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Uganda U20
0.6 Goals Scored 1.38
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 38%
80% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
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Uganda U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan U20 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 South Sudan U20 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Burundi U20 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
4 Djibouti U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Uganda U20 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Tanzania U20 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)