Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U23 vs Mali U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Ethiopia U23 Logo

Ethiopia U23

1 - 1
FT
Mali U23 Logo

Mali U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ethiopia U23
35%
Draws
44%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mali U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mali U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ethiopia U23 Clean Sheet 23%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 1 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Ethiopia U23
4:0
Mar 21, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ethiopia U23 vs Mali U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U23 10 / 100
Mali U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mali U23 conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia U23 scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U23 VS Mali U23
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U23

(Home)
27 Sept
D.R. Congo U23
1 : 0
Ethiopia U23
22 Sept
Ethiopia U23
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
28 Jul
Ethiopia U23
2 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
17 Jul
Ethiopia U23
3 : 3
Eritrea U23
Page 1 of 2

Mali U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2