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Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Getachew B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ethiopian Insurance and Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ethiopian Insurance
22%
Draws
60%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopian Insurance haven't matched Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 26%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:1
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Ethiopian Insurance
2:3
May 23, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Top Goalscorer Getachew B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopian Insurance 21 / 100
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopian Insurance found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ethiopian Insurance has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopian Insurance VS Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635