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Ethnikos Giannitsa vs PAO Koufalion Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 7, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Giannitsa host PAO Koufalion in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. PAO Koufalion have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Ethnikos Giannitsa have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Ethnikos Giannitsa have won 1 to PAO Koufalion's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2021, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.00) back Ethnikos Giannitsa to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30%
Draws
23%
PAO Koufalion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethnikos Giannitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Giannitsa come out ahead of PAO Koufalion on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ethnikos Giannitsa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 20%
PAO Koufalion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Giannitsa PAO Koufalion
Matches Played 15 16
Wins 3 2
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
PAO Koufalion vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
1:3
Mar 7, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa vs PAO Koufalion
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Giannitsa 85 / 100
PAO Koufalion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Giannitsa PAO Koufalion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Giannitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Giannitsa scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

PAO Koufalion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: PAO Koufalion has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Giannitsa VS PAO Koufalion
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Home)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

PAO Koufalion

(Away)
30 May
Thermaikos FC
4 : 0
PAO Koufalion
26 May
PAO Koufalion
0 : 0
Nea Kallikrateia
23 May
Poseidonas Michanionas
1 : 0
PAO Koufalion
16 May
PAO Koufalion
1 : 1
Aetos Varvaras
12 May
Keravnos Anchelochori
4 : 1
PAO Koufalion
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)