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Stadium Background

Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Piraeus in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ethnikos Piraeus
33%
Draws
40%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Piraeus have won more games recently than Apollon Smyrnis.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Smyrnis taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Piraeus Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
3:0
Dec 20, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:1
May 14, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:1
Jan 22, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0
May 19, 1999 Super League
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Piraeus 28 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Piraeus Apollon Smyrnis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Piraeus found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Apollon Smyrnis conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Apollon Smyrnis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Piraeus VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panionios34266281:2284
2Ethnikos Piraeus342012261:1972
3Almyros Gaziou341712559:2863
4Aris Petroupolis341861047:3860
5AO Ilisiakos34169943:2957
6Ipato341491145:3451
7Atsalenios FC341481241:3350
8Agios Nikolaos3414101055:3849
9Chaidari3413101139:2949
10Ellopiakos341391245:4348
11AO Proodeftiki341461447:3848
12Apollon Smyrnis3410121239:3742
13Ermis Zonianon349101536:5437
14Episkopi349101540:5437
15Peramaikos34932232:5830
16Fostiras346131529:4028
17Paraskevi34552426:8217
18Atromitos Piraeus34322916:10511