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Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stade de la Fontenette
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Kaloga I.
35'
Bah K.
45'
Itaitinga

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Etoile-Carouge
33%
Draws
27%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Etoile-Carouge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile-Carouge haven't matched Lausanne Ouchy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Etoile-Carouge's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
0:1
Dec 19, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
2:0
May 2, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile-Carouge Compare

Top Goalscorer Itaitinga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkama J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 40 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etoile-Carouge scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Lausanne Ouchy let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lausanne Ouchy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Lausanne Ouchy
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723